Alexander Bublik vs Henrique Rocha Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second serve effectiveness highlights Rocha's edge, winning 49.23% of points to Bublik's 45.27% in the past six months. Could this tilt the match in Rocha's favor?
• Despite Rocha's edge on second serve points, Bublik excels in returning his opponents' second serves, capturing 45.89% of those points compared to Rocha's 43.34%.
• Bublik struggles with first serve returns, securing only 22.39% of points, while Rocha takes a significant lead by claiming 30.66%, highly indicative in close matchups.
• Under pressure, Bublik shows a stronger breakpoint save rate at 59.72%, surpassing Rocha's 53.69%, suggesting resilience during critical moments.
• Overall match performance over the past year favors Rocha, achieving a 54.93% win rate versus Bublik's 48.15%.
• Surface preferences reveal each player's strengths; while Bublik thrives on indoor hard courts with a 62% win rate, Rocha excels on hard courts, winning 66% of matches. Could the surface impact the outcome?
• The level of competition varies: Bublik competes primarily in Main tour events, winning 33.33%, whereas Rocha finds success in Challengers/ITF tournaments with a 50.94% win rate.
• Opponent caliber insight favors Bublik, who competes against higher-ranked players, with an average opponent rank of 76.06, while Rocha's opponents average a rank of 259.37.
• In deciding sets, Rocha has a slight advantage, winning 50% compared to Bublik's 44%, potentially key in a closely contested match.
• Recent performance at break point opportunities sees Bublik converting 34.64% of chances, slightly more effective than Rocha's 32.73%, crucial in tight games.

Editorial Prediction (May 31, 2025, UTC):

The match-up between Bublik and Rocha showcases contrasting strengths, especially in their recent second serve performance. Rocha has shown superior consistency in this area, potentially giving him an advantage.

However, Bublik's ability to effectively return second serves and his resilience in saving breakpoints could counter Rocha's strengths. The statistics on first serve returns and opponent quality heavily favor Bublik, suggesting adaptability against higher-level competition.

While Rocha exhibits proficiency in deciding sets, the overall competitive edge, particularly Bublik's experience on the Main tour, might prove decisive.

Although Rocha's recent win rates suggest he is a strong contender, Bublik's superior performance against tougher opponents and resilience in critical moments suggest that Bublik is the more likely winner in this upcoming tennis match.